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Which bills will become law in 2026?

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Export-control chip security · Will Export-control chip security become law this year?35,5%
  • AI-chip export licensing · Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?27,5%
  • Critical-minerals stockpile · Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?19,5%
  • FISA Section 702 reauthorization · Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?14,5%
  • DEFIANCE Act · Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?13,5%
  • $2.50 Coin · Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?10,0%
+7 altri

Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • 17% · Will Linke win less than 17% of all valid second votes?19,5%
  • 23% · Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?6,0%
  • Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?43,5%
  • Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?32,5%

Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Rui Costa · Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?76,5%
  • Jaques Wagner · Will Jaques Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?14,6%
  • Angelo Coronel · Will Angelo Coronel win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?3,2%
  • João Roma · Will João Roma win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?3,2%
  • Carlos Sodré · Will Carlos Sodré win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?0,1%
  • Gregorio Gould · Will Gregorio Gould win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?0,1%
+4 altri

Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?22,0%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?13,0%
  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?12,0%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?11,5%
  • Democrat Wins · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?9,5%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?7,5%
+4 altri

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • 22-25 · Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?61,0%
  • 26-29 · Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?31,5%
  • 18-21 · Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?3,5%
  • 30-33 · Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0,7%
  • 34+ · Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0,6%
  • <18 · Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0,2%

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • 85m · Will there be less than 85m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?1,0%
  • 130m · Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?4,3%
  • Will there be between 85m and 90m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?0,4%
  • Will there be between 90m and 95m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?2,8%
  • Will there be between 95m and 100m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?3,2%
  • Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?6,9%
+5 altri

Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Rayssa Furlan · Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?80,5%
  • Randolfe · Will Randolfe win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?7,2%
  • Lucas Barreto · Will Lucas Barreto win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?5,0%
  • Alliny Serrão · Will Alliny Serrão win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?0,7%
  • Acácio Favacho · Will Acácio Favacho win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?0,4%
  • Helio Silva · Will Helio Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?0,2%
+3 altri

Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Leila do Vôlei · Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?58,0%
  • Bia Kicis · Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?16,0%
  • Erika Kokay · Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?12,0%
  • Michelle Bolsonaro · Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?10,0%
  • David Horn · Will David Horn win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?0,2%
  • Avenir Rosa · Will Avenir Rosa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?0,1%
+7 altri

Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 15%-20%?24,0%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 20%-25%?15,5%
  • Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 35%-40%?14,5%
  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 30%-35%?12,0%
  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 10%-15%?10,0%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 25%-30%?10,0%
+4 altri

Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Democrat 6-9% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?16,5%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?16,0%
  • Democrat 3-6% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?16,0%
  • Democrat 9-12% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?13,0%
  • Democrat 12%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more?11,0%
  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?9,5%
+4 altri

GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Republican 12-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 12%-15%?13,5%
  • Republican 9-12% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 9%-12%?13,5%
  • Republican 15-18% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 15%-18%?12,5%
  • Republican 18-21% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 18%-21%?9,5%
  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 6%-9%?8,0%
  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 3%-6%?7,5%
+4 altri

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes · Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?48,5%
  • Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera · Will Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?19,5%
  • Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa · Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?15,5%
  • Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga · Will Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?5,3%
  • Lizbeth Zavala Vilca · Will Lizbeth Zavala Vilca win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?5,0%
  • Alfredo Álvarez Díaz · Will Alfredo Álvarez Díaz win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?4,9%
+14 altri

Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Sílvia Cristina · Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?48,5%
  • Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid · Will Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?30,5%
  • Mariana Carvalho · Will Mariana Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?15,8%
  • Acir Gurgacz · Will Acir Gurgacz win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?3,5%
  • Dr. Fernando Máximo · Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?3,0%
  • Aires Mota · Will Aires Mota win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?1,7%
+4 altri

Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor · Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?85,5%
  • Ogboru Great Ovedje · Will Ogboru Great Ovedje win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?5,1%
  • Nkwoala Emeka · Will Nkwoala Emeka win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?3,8%
  • Emmanuel Unuafe · Will Emmanuel Unuafe win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?2,2%
  • Joshua Denila · Will Joshua Denila win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?0,5%
  • Barry Avotu Johnson · Will Barry Avotu Johnson win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?0,2%

Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Democrat Wins · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?21,0%
  • Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 10%-15%?19,5%
  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 15%-20%?14,5%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?12,0%
  • Republican 5-10% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%?12,0%
  • Republican 35%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 35% or more?10,5%
+3 altri

NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Republican 12%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?16,1%
  • Democrat 3-6% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?15,5%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?13,0%
  • Democrat 6-9% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 6%-9%?11,5%
  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?10,5%
  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?10,5%
+4 altri

Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Rogerio Carvalho · Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?34,0%
  • Delegado André David · Will Delegado André David win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?21,8%
  • André Moura · Will André Moura win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?20,0%
  • Delegado Alessandro · Will Delegado Alessandro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?13,2%
  • Eduardo Amorim · Will Eduardo Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?13,0%
  • Rodrigo Valadares · Will Rodrigo Valadares win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?6,4%
+5 altri

Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Mendonça Filho · Will Mendonça Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?52,5%
  • Humberto Costa · Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?37,5%
  • Túlio Gadêlha · Will Túlio Gadêlha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?5,0%
  • Marília Arraes · Will Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?4,2%
  • Eduardo da Fonte · Will Eduardo da Fonte win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?2,3%
  • Mariano Macedo · Will Mariano Macedo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?0,2%
+6 altri

MN-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 25%-30%?17,0%
  • Republican 35-40% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 35%-40%?16,5%
  • Republican 40-45% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 40%-45%?14,5%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 30%-35%?14,0%
  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 15%-20%?12,5%
  • Republican 0-5% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 0%-5%?11,5%
+4 altri

Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 35%-40%?20,5%
  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?18,5%
  • Democrat 40-45% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 40%-45%?13,0%
  • Democrat 45%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 45% or more?13,0%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 20%-25%?9,5%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 25%-30%?7,5%
+4 altri

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Linke · Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?74,5%
  • CDU · Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?24,5%
  • AfD · Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0,1%
  • BSW · Will BSW win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0,1%
  • FDP · Will FDP win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0,1%
  • FW · Will FW win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0,1%
+2 altri

NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Democrat 45-50% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 45%-50%?16,0%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 25%-30%?15,5%
  • Democrat 50%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 50% or more?15,5%
  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 30%-35%?14,5%
  • Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 35%-40%?14,0%
  • Democrat 40-45% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 40%-45%?13,0%
+4 altri

Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Independent 3%+ · Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?21,5%
  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%?20,5%
  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?14,5%
  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?13,0%
  • Republican 9-12% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 9%-12%?11,0%
  • Independent 0-3% · Will an Independent Candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%?10,5%
+4 altri

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • 31 dic 2026 · Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?3,3%
  • 30 giu 2027 · Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?10,5%

CA-42 House Election Winner

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?5,5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?94,5%

MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Democrat 50-55% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 50%-55%?18,5%
  • Democrat 45-50% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 45%-50%?17,5%
  • Democrat 25-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 25%-35%?16,5%
  • Democrat 55-60% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 55%-60%?15,0%
  • Democrat 0-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 0%-25%?12,0%
  • Democrat 40-45% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 40%-45%?11,3%
+4 altri

FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 6%-9%?22,0%
  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 3%-6%?19,0%
  • Republican 9-12% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 9%-12%?13,0%
  • Democrat 6%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 6% or more?12,4%
  • Republican 18%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 18% or more?12,0%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?10,5%
+4 altri

Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place

PoliticsChiude 0 call

  • Joao Azevêdo · Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?81,5%
  • Veneziano · Will Veneziano win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?14,3%
  • Nabor · Will Nabor win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?4,4%
  • João Batista · Will João Batista win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?0,8%
  • André Gadelha · Will André Gadelha win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?0,3%
  • Major Fábio · Will Major Fábio win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?0,3%
+4 altri

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