Wallet verbinden
← Ereignisse

Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share?

PoliticsSchließt Aktualisiert

Dieses Ereignis wird nicht mehr verfolgt. Preise können veraltet sein.

Auflösungsregeln

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).

Polymarket löst auf. insiderz liest nur das Ergebnis.

Märkte

Je unwahrscheinlicher der Markt es hält, desto mehr zählt ein richtiger Call.

  1. 14% · Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?

    Schließt

    22,0%
  2. 20% · Will Grüne win at least 20% of all valid second votes?

    Schließt

    2,9%
  3. Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?

    Schließt

    47,5%
  4. Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?

    Schließt

    30,5%

Mache deinen Call

Verbinde eine Wallet, um deinen Call zu machen. Keine E-Mail, kein Name.

Wallet verbinden

Calls zu diesem Ereignis

Ein Thread pro Insider, älteste zuerst.

Noch keine öffentlichen Calls zu diesem Ereignis. Mache den ersten