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New Zealand legislative election winner?

PoliticsClôture Mis à jour

Règles de résolution

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

Polymarket décide du résultat. insiderz se contente de le lire.

Marchés

Moins le marché juge le résultat probable, plus un call qui a vu juste compte.

  1. Labour Party · Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Clôture

    55,5%
  2. National Party · Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Clôture

    44,0%
  3. ACT New Zealand · Will ACT New Zealand win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Clôture

    0,2%
  4. Green Party · Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Clôture

    0,2%
  5. Te Pāti Māori · Will Te Pāti Māori win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Clôture

    0,2%
  6. New Zealand First Party · Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Clôture

    0,1%

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