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166 événements

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 25-29 · Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?34,5%
  • 20-24 · Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?32,0%
  • 30-34 · Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?17,0%
  • <20 · Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?15,9%
  • 35+ · Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?5,5%

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 20-39 · Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?75,0%
  • <20 · Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?17,0%
  • 40-59 · Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?5,7%
  • 60-79 · Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?0,8%
  • 80+ · Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?0,2%

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Rebeca Grynspan · Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?32,5%
  • Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett · Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?20,4%
  • Rafael Grossi · Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?14,0%
  • María Fernanda Espinosa · Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?13,0%
  • Macky Sall · Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?8,5%
  • Michelle Bachelet · Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?3,7%
+2 de plus

Maduro Prison Time?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 20 · Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?5,5%
  • 60 · Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?27,0%
  • Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?43,0%
  • Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?14,0%
  • Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?9,7%

Ingushetia Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Ingushetia Parliament elections?98,4%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Ingushetia Parliament elections?0,5%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Ingushetia Parliament elections?0,5%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Ingushetia Parliament elections?0,3%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Ingushetia Parliament elections?0,3%

Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Wang Mei-hui · Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?78,5%
  • Chang Chi-kai · Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?18,5%
  • Weng Shou-liang · Will Weng Shou-liang win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?1,5%
  • Huang Hung-cheng · Will Huang Hung-cheng win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?1,3%
  • Chen Chia-ping · Will Chen Chia-ping win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?0,8%
  • Chen Kai-huang · Will Chen Kai-huang win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?0,7%

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 15 sept. 2026 · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?36,0%
  • 30 sept. 2026 · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?68,0%
  • 31 oct. 2026 · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?83,0%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?89,5%

Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?96,4%
  • Communists of Russia · Will Communists of Russia win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?2,4%
  • Party of Pensioners · Will Party of Pensioners win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?2,4%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?2,3%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?1,1%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?0,3%
+1 de plus

How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • <45 · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?91,0%
  • 45–54 · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win between 45 and 54 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?4,4%
  • 55–64 · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win between 55 and 64 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?3,7%
  • 65–74 · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win between 65 and 74 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?2,9%
  • 75–84 · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win between 75 and 84 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?2,6%
  • 95+ · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win 95 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?2,3%
+1 de plus

Tver Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Vitaly Korolev · Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?97,0%
  • Tatyana Petrova · Will Tatyana Petrova win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?2,2%
  • Igor Yakovenko · Will Igor Yakovenko win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?1,9%
  • Sergey Malinkovich · Will Sergey Malinkovich win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?1,1%
  • Lyudmila Vorobyova · Will Lyudmila Vorobyova win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?0,3%
  • Olga Levina · Will Olga Levina win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?0,2%

Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Chen Su-yueh · Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?83,0%
  • Wei Ping-cheng · Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?8,5%
  • Chiu Chien-fu · Will Chiu Chien-fu win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?2,0%
  • Lin Shih-hsien · Will Lin Shih-hsien win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?0,3%
  • Huang Hsiu-fang · Will Huang Hsiu-fang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?0,3%
  • Hung Jung-chang · Will Hung Jung-chang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?0,2%

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Ireland · Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?98,6%
  • Germany · Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?25,5%
  • Saudi Arabia · Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?20,0%
  • South Korea · Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?16,5%
  • Israel · Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?16,0%
  • Japan · Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?16,0%
+15 de plus

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 30 sept. 2026 · Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?4,0%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?24,5%

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • <25 · Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?46,9%
  • 25-29 · Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?23,0%
  • 30-34 · Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?13,1%
  • 35-39 · Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?9,5%
  • 40+ · Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?5,0%

Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?42,0%
  • New People (NL) · Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?39,5%
  • A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) · Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?8,5%
  • Rodina · Will Rodina win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?4,5%
  • Civic Platform (GP) · Will Civic Platform (GP) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?3,4%
  • Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) · Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?1,5%
+1 de plus

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