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16 événements

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • 0 (0 bps) · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?92,9%
  • 1 (25 bps) · Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?4,5%
  • 2 (50 bps) · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?2,3%
  • 3 (75 bps) · Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0,5%
  • 12+ (300+ bps) · Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0,2%
  • 4 (100 bps) · Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0,2%
+7 de plus

Largest Company end of December 2026?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?80,0%
  • Apple · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?13,3%
  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?6,5%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?0,7%
  • SpaceX · Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?0,6%
  • Amazon · Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?0,2%
+2 de plus

Largest Company end of September?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?94,5%
  • Apple · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?4,5%
  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0,8%
  • Amazon · Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0,2%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0,2%
  • Saudi Aramco · Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0,2%
+3 de plus

Fed rate cut by...?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • 8 oct. 2026 · Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?0,5%
  • 8 nov. 2026 · Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?3,7%
  • 8 janv. 2027 · Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?6,0%

3rd Largest Company end of September?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?83,5%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?12,3%
  • Apple · Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?5,0%
  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?1,0%
  • Amazon · Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0,1%
  • Broadcom · Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0,1%
+3 de plus

Fed rate hike by...?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?49,5%
  • Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?62,0%

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • Apple · Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?59,5%
  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?28,0%
  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?11,0%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?4,3%
  • SpaceX · Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?0,8%
  • Amazon · Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?0,3%
+3 de plus

2nd Largest Company end of September?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • Apple · Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?87,5%
  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?6,5%
  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?5,5%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0,5%
  • Amazon · Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0,1%
  • Broadcom · Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0,1%
+3 de plus

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • 25 bps increase · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?99,4%
  • No change · Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?0,6%
  • 50+ bps increase · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?0,2%
  • 25 bps decrease · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?0,1%
  • 50+ bps decrease · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?0,1%

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • Other · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?63,5%
  • Pause–Pause–Pause · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?33,5%
  • Pause–Pause–Cut · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?1,4%
  • Pause–Cut–Cut · Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?0,1%
  • Pause–Cut–Pause · Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?0,1%

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?56,5%
  • Apple · Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?24,0%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?15,0%
  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?2,9%
  • Saudi Aramco · Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?1,5%
  • Broadcom · Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?1,4%
+3 de plus

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • 4.0–5.0% · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?89,5%
  • 5.0–6.0% · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?6,3%
  • 9.0%+ · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?1,5%
  • 3.0–4.0% · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?1,2%
  • 8.0–9.0% · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?1,2%
  • 1.0–2.0% · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?0,2%
+4 de plus

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • Other · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?51,0%
  • Pause–Pause–Pause · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?48,5%
  • Pause–Pause–Cut · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?0,6%

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • 25 bps increase · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?98,1%
  • No change · Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?1,1%
  • 50+ bps increase · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?1,0%
  • 25 bps decrease · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?0,1%
  • 50+ bps decrease · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?0,1%

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • 1 (25 bps) · Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?40,0%
  • 0 (0 bps) · Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?28,5%
  • 2 (50 bps) · Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?22,5%
  • 3 (75 bps) · Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?5,2%
  • 4 (100 bps) · Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?0,8%
  • 5+ (125+ bps) · Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?0,8%

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