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167 événements

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 200k · Will Trump deport less than 200k people?1,8%
  • 1m · Will Trump deport more than 1m people?1,9%
  • Will Trump deport 200-300k people?0,3%
  • Will Trump deport 300-400k people?17,0%
  • Will Trump deport 400-500k people?57,0%
  • Will Trump deport 500-600k people?13,8%
+4 de plus

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 4 sept. 2026 · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?37,5%
  • 7 sept. 2026 · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?51,5%
  • 11 sept. 2026 · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?61,5%
  • 18 sept. 2026 · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?65,5%
  • 30 sept. 2026 · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?74,0%

Adygea Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?98,6%
  • Communists of Russia · Will Communists of Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?0,6%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?0,6%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Adygea Parliament elections?0,6%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Adygea Parliament elections?0,3%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Adygea Parliament elections?0,2%

Kamchatka Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?96,9%
  • Party of Pensioners · Will Party of Pensioners win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?2,2%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?1,8%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?1,7%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?0,8%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?0,5%

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 31 oct. 2026 · Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?2,8%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?5,5%

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 30 sept. 2026 · Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?71,5%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?93,5%

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 30 sept. 2026 · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?5,3%
  • 31 oct. 2026 · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?11,5%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?41,5%

Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?96,5%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?3,0%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?0,5%
  • Party of Direct Democracy · Will Party of Direct Democracy win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?0,5%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?0,5%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?0,2%

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 15 sept. 2026 · US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?2,6%
  • 30 sept. 2026 · US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?7,5%

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 1 · Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?40,5%
  • 2 · Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?21,5%
  • 3 · Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026?10,5%
  • Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?24,5%
  • Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026?3,5%

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 30 sept. 2026 · US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?5,0%
  • 31 oct. 2026 · US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?26,5%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?60,5%

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 10 · Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?65,0%
  • 20 · Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?20,5%
  • 30 · Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?11,5%
  • 40 · Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?10,5%
  • 50 · Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?7,5%

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 0 · Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?0,2%
  • 1 · Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?73,0%
  • 2 · Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?21,0%
  • 3 · Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?2,8%
  • 4 · Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?0,1%
  • 5 · Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?0,1%

Penza Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Oleg Melnichenko · Will Oleg Melnichenko win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?95,9%
  • Mikhail Lisin · Will Mikhail Lisin win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?2,9%
  • Viktor Yeroshenko · Will Viktor Yeroshenko win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?2,8%
  • Pavel Kulikov · Will Pavel Kulikov win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?2,1%
  • Oleg Shalyapin · Will Oleg Shalyapin win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?0,8%

Bryansk Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Yegor Kovalchuk · Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?95,6%
  • Alexandra Kazachkova · Will Alexandra Kazachkova win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?2,4%
  • Ruslan Titov · Will Ruslan Titov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?1,7%
  • Alexey Timoshkov · Will Alexey Timoshkov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?1,1%
  • Andrey Arkhitsky · Will Andrey Arkhitsky win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?0,5%

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 1-100 · Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?82,0%
  • >100k · Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?8,4%
  • 101-1k · Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?5,1%
  • 1k-2.5k · Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?2,9%
  • 10k-25k · Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?1,7%
  • 2.5k-5k · Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?0,9%
+2 de plus

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 30 sept. 2026 · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?26,5%
  • 15 oct. 2026 · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?28,0%
  • 31 oct. 2026 · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?37,5%
  • 30 nov. 2026 · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?43,0%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?57,0%

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 31 oct. 2026 · NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?10,5%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?25,5%

Trump meets with Putin by...?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 30 sept. 2026 · Trump meets with Putin by September 30?5,6%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · Trump meets with Putin by December 31?55,0%

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 25-29 · Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?34,5%
  • 20-24 · Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?32,0%
  • 30-34 · Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?17,0%
  • <20 · Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?15,9%
  • 35+ · Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?4,6%

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