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Ceará Senate Election: 2nd Place

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  • Luizianne · Will Luizianne win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?42,0%
  • Capitão Wagner · Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?36,5%
  • Cid Gomes · Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?18,5%
  • Alcides Fernandes · Will Alcides Fernandes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?0,7%
  • Guilherme Theophilo · Will Guilherme Theophilo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?0,5%
  • Reginaldo · Will Reginaldo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?0,3%
+2 de plus

NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 6%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 6% or more?24,8%
  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 0%-3%?15,0%
  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 6%-9%?14,0%
  • Republican 18%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 18% or more?13,5%
  • Republican 9-12% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 9%-12%?13,5%
  • Republican 12-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 12%-15%?11,5%
+4 de plus

Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

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  • Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?4,1%
  • Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?2,0%

Cusco Mayoral Election Winner

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  • Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar · Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?35,0%
  • Sergio Sullca Condori · Will Sergio Sullca Condori win the next Cusco mayoral elections?19,8%
  • William Peña Farfán · Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?18,0%
  • Iván Hurtado Villafuerte · Will Iván Hurtado Villafuerte win the next Cusco mayoral elections?12,1%
  • Gabriela Paliza Romero · Will Gabriela Paliza Romero win the next Cusco mayoral elections?6,1%
  • Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez · Will Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez win the next Cusco mayoral elections?6,0%
+8 de plus

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

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  • 10% · Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by less than 10%?0,1%
  • 25% · Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?97,2%
  • Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 20-25%?2,1%
  • Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 15-20%?2,1%
  • Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 10-15%?1,0%
  • Will another margin of victory outcome occur in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election?0,3%

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 30%-35%?15,5%
  • Republican 35-40% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 35%-40%?13,5%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 25%-30%?13,1%
  • Republican 45%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 45% or more?11,2%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 20%-25%?11,1%
  • Republican 40-45% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 40%-45%?11,0%
+4 de plus

New Zealand Election: Turnout

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  • 78-80% · Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?36,5%
  • 76-78% · Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?30,5%
  • 80-82% · Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?23,8%
  • <76% · Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?5,0%
  • 84%+ · Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election?3,7%
  • 82-84% · Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?1,1%

NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 30%-35%?16,5%
  • Democrat 45-50% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 45%-50%?15,5%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 25%-30%?13,5%
  • Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 35%-40%?13,5%
  • Democrat 50%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 50% or more?12,5%
  • Democrat 40-45% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 40%-45%?11,0%
+4 de plus

NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 45-50% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 45%-50%?13,0%
  • Democrat 50-55% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 50%-55%?13,0%
  • Democrat 55%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 55% or more?13,0%
  • Democrat 40-45% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%?12,0%
  • Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 35%-40%?11,0%
  • Democrat 15-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 15%-25%?6,5%
+4 de plus

CA-27 House Election Winner

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  • Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?5,0%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?94,5%

NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 70-75% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 70%-75%?26,0%
  • Democrat 65-70% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 65%-70%?18,0%
  • Democrat 55-60% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 55%-60%?16,5%
  • Democrat 75-80% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 75%-80%?15,0%
  • Democrat 85%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 85% or more?13,5%
  • Democrat 80-85% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 80%-85%?12,5%
+4 de plus

LA-04 House Election Winner

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  • Will the Republican Party win the LA-04 House seat?94,5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the LA-04 House seat?5,5%

NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 15%-20%?19,0%
  • Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 5%-10%?19,0%
  • Democrat 0-5% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 0%-5%?17,5%
  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 10%-15%?17,5%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 20%-25%?11,5%
  • Republican Wins · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election?10,3%
+2 de plus

Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 10%-15%?21,5%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 20%-25%?17,0%
  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 15%-20%?15,0%
  • Democrat 30%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 30% or more?14,5%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 25%-30%?12,5%
  • Democrat 0-5% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 0%-5%?10,5%
+2 de plus

KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 15%-20%?16,0%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%?15,6%
  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 10%-15%?15,5%
  • Democrat 0-5% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 0%-5%?14,5%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 25%-30%?11,5%
  • Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 5%-10%?10,5%
+2 de plus

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

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  • Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?4,0%
  • Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?96,2%

Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner

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  • Paul Lefebvre · Will Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?78,5%
  • Miranda Rocca-Circelli · Will Miranda Rocca-Circelli win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?4,0%
  • Joseph Boutros · Will Joseph Boutros win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?3,3%
  • Michael McIntosh · Will Michael McIntosh win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?2,0%
  • Rodney Newton · Will Rodney Newton win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?1,8%
  • Keenan Menard · Will Keenan Menard win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?0,9%
+2 de plus

CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 10%-15%?19,5%
  • Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 5%-10%?15,0%
  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 15%-20%?12,5%
  • Democrat 35%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 35% or more?12,5%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?11,5%
  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 30%-35%?10,0%
+3 de plus

Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?19,5%
  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?14,5%
  • Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?13,5%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?13,0%
  • Democrat 0-5% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?12,5%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?11,5%
+2 de plus

OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%?16,5%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 25%-30%?14,9%
  • Republican 40%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 40% or more?11,5%
  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 15%-20%?11,0%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 30%-35%?10,5%
  • Republican 35-40% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 35%-40%?10,0%
+3 de plus

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?28,5%
  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?15,5%
  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?12,5%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?10,0%
  • Democrat 3-6% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?7,6%
  • Democrat 6-9% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?4,2%
+4 de plus

Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)?

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  • Cilliers Brink · Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?61,5%
  • Nasiphi Moya · Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?16,0%
  • Chana Pilane-Majake · Will Chana Pilane-Majake be the next mayor of Tshwane?11,1%
  • Patience Moropa · Will Patience Moropa be the next mayor of Tshwane?7,4%
  • Phumeza Mangcu · Will Phumeza Mangcu be the next mayor of Tshwane?7,3%
  • Kgoši Maepa · Will Kgoši Maepa be the next mayor of Tshwane?1,6%
+3 de plus

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

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  • Pete Ricketts (R) · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?69,5%
  • Independent · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?30,5%
  • Democrat · Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?0,2%

Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?

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  • 40-64 · Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?46,5%
  • 65-89 · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?25,0%
  • <40 · Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?19,5%
  • 90-114 · Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?4,5%
  • 115-139 · Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?2,0%
  • 140-164 · Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?0,5%
+4 de plus

OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 35-40% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 35%-40%?16,0%
  • Republican 40-45% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 40%-45%?16,0%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 30%-35%?15,0%
  • Republican 10-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 10%-20%?11,5%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 20%-25%?11,0%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 25%-30%?11,0%
+4 de plus

Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?16,5%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?15,0%
  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?14,0%
  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?12,5%
  • Democrat 30%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 30% or more?10,5%
  • Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?10,5%
+2 de plus

Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 25%-30%?25,0%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 20%-25%?17,5%
  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 15%-20%?15,0%
  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 30%-35%?13,5%
  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 10%-15%?8,0%
  • Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 5%-10%?5,2%
+3 de plus

GA-07 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

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  • Republican 35%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 35% or more?19,5%
  • Republican 5-10% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 5%-10%?19,0%
  • Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 10%-15%?17,0%
  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 15%-20%?17,0%
  • Republican 0-5% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 0%-5%?14,5%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 30%-35%?14,0%
+3 de plus

West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 45-50% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 45%-50%?23,0%
  • Republican 35-40% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 35%-40%?16,5%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?16,0%
  • Republican 40-45% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 40%-45%?14,5%
  • Republican 50%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 50% or more?13,5%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 20%-25%?12,5%
+5 de plus

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 45-50% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 45%-50%?14,5%
  • Republican 65%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 65% or more?14,5%
  • Republican 40-45% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?14,0%
  • Republican 25-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 25%-35%?13,0%
  • Republican 50-55% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 50%-55%?11,5%
  • Republican 0-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 0%-25%?11,0%
+4 de plus

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