5% · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Chiude
PoliticsChiude Aggiornato
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Lo risolve Polymarket. insiderz legge solo il risultato.
Meno il mercato lo ritiene probabile, più vale una call giusta.
5% · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Chiude
5% · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Chiude
10% · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?
Chiude
15% · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
Chiude
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Chiude
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
Chiude
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Chiude
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Chiude
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Chiude
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Chiude
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Chiude
Connetti un wallet per fare la tua call. Niente email, niente nome.
Connetti walletUna serie per insider, dalla più vecchia.
Ancora nessuna call pubblica su questo evento. Fai la prima