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Closest Senate Race?

PoliticsFecha Atualizado

Regras de resolução

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

A Polymarket resolve. A insiderz apenas lê o resultado.

Mercados

Quanto menos provável o mercado considerar o resultado, mais vale uma call certa.

  1. Iowa · Will Iowa have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    15,4%

  2. Texas · Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    15,0%

  3. Michigan · Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    10,7%

  4. Alaska · Will Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    9,5%

  5. Ohio (Special) · Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    9,5%

  6. Maine · Will Maine have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    8,5%

  7. North Carolina · Will North Carolina have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    7,9%

    O preço está instável demais agora

  8. Nebraska · Will Nebraska have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    6,6%

  9. Colorado · Will Colorado have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    4,5%

  10. Virginia · Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    3,7%

  11. Montana · Will Montana have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    2,5%

  12. Florida (Special) · Will Florida (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    2,3%

  13. New Hampshire · Will New Hampshire have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    2,3%

  14. Georgia · Will Georgia have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    1,6%

  15. New Mexico · Will New Mexico have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    1,5%

  16. Minnesota · Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026?

    Fecha

    0,7%

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