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Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

EconomyFecha Atualizado

Regras de resolução

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

A Polymarket resolve. A insiderz apenas lê o resultado.

Mercados

Quanto menos provável o mercado considerar o resultado, mais vale uma call certa.

  1. Pause–Pause–Pause · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

    Fecha

    25,5%
  2. Hike–Pause–Pause · Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

    Fecha

    17,5%
  3. Pause–Pause–Hike · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

    Fecha

    13,5%
  4. Hike–Hike–Pause · Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

    Fecha

    12,0%
  5. Hike–Pause–Hike · Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

    Fecha

    10,0%
  6. Pause–Hike–Pause · Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

    Fecha

    8,3%
  7. Pause–Hike–Hike · Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

    Fecha

    7,5%
  8. Other · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

    Fecha

    7,0%
  9. Hike–Hike–Hike · Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

    Fecha

    6,0%

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