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Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

PoliticsFecha Atualizado

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

A Polymarket resolve. A insiderz apenas lê o resultado.

Mercados

Quanto menos provável o mercado considerar o resultado, mais vale uma call certa.

  1. Below 190 · Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

    Fecha

    22,5%
  2. 195-199 · Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

    Fecha

    14,0%
  3. 190-194 · Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

    Fecha

    13,0%
  4. 200-204 · Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

    Fecha

    12,2%
  5. 205-209 · Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

    Fecha

    11,5%
  6. 210-214 · Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

    Fecha

    10,3%
  7. 215-219 · Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

    Fecha

    7,0%
  8. 220-224 · Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

    Fecha

    3,5%
  9. 225-229 · Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

    Fecha

    3,4%
  10. 230+ · Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

    Fecha

    2,8%

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