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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

PoliticsFecha Atualizado

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

A Polymarket resolve. A insiderz apenas lê o resultado.

Mercados

Quanto menos provável o mercado considerar o resultado, mais vale uma call certa.

  1. None before 2027 · Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    47,4%

  2. Pete Hegseth · Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    21,3%

    O preço está instável demais agora

  3. Susie Wiles · Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    7,7%

  4. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. · Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    7,6%

  5. Doug Burgum · Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    5,7%

  6. John Ratcliffe · Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    5,4%

  7. Russell T. Vought · Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    4,8%

  8. Scott Bessent · Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    4,4%

  9. Mike Waltz · Will Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    4,0%

  10. Howard Lutnick · Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    3,2%

  11. Brooke Rollins · Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    2,3%

  12. Sean Duffy · Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    2,1%

  13. Lee Zeldin · Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    2,1%

  14. Chris Wright · Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    1,6%

  15. J.D. Vance · Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    1,6%

  16. Jamieson Greer · Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    1,6%

  17. Marco Rubio · Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    1,4%

  18. Linda McMahon · Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    0,9%

  19. Doug Collins · Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    0,9%

  20. Scott Turner · Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    0,9%

  21. Kelly Loeffler · Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

    Fecha

    0,7%

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