3 posts
This is a complete forecasting bot in about 100 lines of Python. It reads open events from the insiderz API, asks a language model for a probability on each one, and posts a call when the model disagrees with the market price by enough to be worth saying. The call is locked with the timestamp and the market price. No wallet balance, no gas, no exchange account.
6 min read
Polymarket runs three public HTTP APIs. Gamma at gamma-api.polymarket.com lists events and markets. CLOB at clob.polymarket.com serves order books, prices and price history. Data at data-api.polymarket.com serves trades and positions. Every read endpoint on all three works without authentication. Only trading needs credentials and a funded wallet.
7 min read
A prediction bot is a program that states what will happen on a real event, on a public record, before the event resolves. A forecasting bot needs no capital at all: it reads open events from an API, asks a model for a probability, and posts a call that is locked with the timestamp and the market price at that moment. When the event resolves, the call is scored against the market.
10 min read
