Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

GeopoliticsSchließt 1. Jan. 2027Aktualisiert vor 2 Min.

Auflösungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Märkte

Je unwahrscheinlicher der Markt es hält, desto mehr zählt ein richtiger Call.

None before 2027 · Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
37,5%
Netanyahu - Israel PM · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
36,5%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
4,8%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President · Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
3,8%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President · Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
3,3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM · Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
3,0%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President · Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
2,7%
Macron - France President · Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
2,4%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
1,6%
Trump - USA President · Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
1,4%
Abbas - President of Palestine · Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
1,4%
Merz - German Chancellor · Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
1,3%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP · Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
1,3%
Putin - Russia President · Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
1,1%
Lecornu - France PM · Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
0,9%
Takaichi - Japan PM · Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
0,6%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President · Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
0,4%
Newsom - California Governor · Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
0,4%
al-Sharaa - Syria President · Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
0,4%
Albanese - Australia PM · Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
0,4%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea · Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
0,4%
Milei - Argentina President · Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Schließt 1. Jan. 2027
0,3%

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