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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

Category
Geopolitics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
22 markets
Liquidity
$366.4K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. None before 2027

    Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $47.2K
    37.5%

    bid 37.0% · ask 38.0%

  2. Netanyahu - Israel PM

    Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $20K
    36.5%

    bid 36.0% · ask 37.0%

  3. Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

    Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $17K
    4.9%

    bid 4.0% · ask 5.8%

  4. Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

    Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $11.9K
    3.8%

    bid 3.3% · ask 4.3%

  5. Macron - France President

    Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.2K
    2.9%

    bid 0.8% · ask 5.0%

  6. Sánchez - Spanish PM

    Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.2K
    2.9%

    bid 1.6% · ask 4.2%

  7. Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

    Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $16.2K
    2.0%

    bid 1.5% · ask 2.5%

  8. Lula da Silva - Brazil President

    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $14K
    1.6%

    bid 1.5% · ask 1.7%

  9. Putin - Russia President

    Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $25.8K
    1.6%

    bid 1.0% · ask 2.1%

  10. Merz - German Chancellor

    Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.7K
    1.5%

    bid 0.9% · ask 2.1%

  11. Trump - USA President

    Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $20.3K
    1.4%

    bid 1.3% · ask 1.6%

  12. Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

    Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $20.3K
    1.4%

    bid 1.2% · ask 1.6%

  13. Erdoğan - Türkiye President

    Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.7K
    1.4%

    bid 1.0% · ask 1.7%

  14. Abbas - President of Palestine

    Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.2K
    1.3%

    bid 0.5% · ask 2.0%

  15. Lecornu - France PM

    Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.2K
    1.1%

    bid 0.7% · ask 1.6%

  16. Takaichi - Japan PM

    Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $11.9K
    0.7%

    bid 0.4% · ask 0.9%

  17. Newsom - California Governor

    Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.9K
    0.6%

    bid 0.3% · ask 0.9%

  18. Albanese - Australia PM

    Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $17.7K
    0.6%

    bid 0.3% · ask 0.8%

  19. Milei - Argentina President

    Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.3K
    0.5%

    bid 0.3% · ask 0.7%

  20. al-Sharaa - Syria President

    Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.8K
    0.4%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.6%

  21. Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

    Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $14.5K
    0.4%

    bid 0.3% · ask 0.5%

  22. Sheinbaum - Mexico President

    Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.5K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.4%

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