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Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

PoliticsSchließt Aktualisiert

Auflösungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Märkte

Je unwahrscheinlicher der Markt es hält, desto mehr zählt ein richtiger Call.

  1. Andy Beshear · Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    28,5%

  2. Gavin Newsom · Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    19,2%

  3. Kamala Harris · Will Kamala Harris be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    12,5%

  4. Pete Buttigieg · Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    12,0%

  5. Rahm Emanuel · Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    9,5%

  6. Ro Khanna · Will Ro Khanna be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    9,5%

  7. Stephen A. Smith · Will Stephen A. Smith be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    8,3%

    Preis derzeit zu instabil

  8. Josh Shapiro · Will Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    3,9%

  9. Jon Ossoff · Will Jon Ossoff be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    1,8%

  10. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    0,8%

  11. Jon Stewart · Will Jon Stewart be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Schließt

    0,3%

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