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Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

Category
Politics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
11 markets
Liquidity
$87.2K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Andy Beshear

    Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $1.4K
    28.5%

    bid 28.0% · ask 29.0%

  2. Gavin Newsom

    Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $14.3K
    19.1%

    bid 18.8% · ask 19.5%

  3. Kamala Harris

    Will Kamala Harris be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9K
    12.5%

    bid 11.0% · ask 14.0%

  4. Pete Buttigieg

    Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.9K
    12.0%

    bid 10.0% · ask 14.0%

  5. Rahm Emanuel

    Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9.2K
    9.5%

    bid 9.0% · ask 10.0%

  6. Ro Khanna

    Will Ro Khanna be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9.2K
    9.5%

    bid 9.0% · ask 10.0%

  7. Stephen A. Smith

    Will Stephen A. Smith be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.7K
    4.5%

    bid 2.5% · ask 6.4%

  8. Josh Shapiro

    Will Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $574.5
    3.6%

    bid 0.3% · ask 7.0%

  9. Jon Ossoff

    Will Jon Ossoff be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.8K
    1.8%

    bid 0.3% · ask 3.3%

  10. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.8K
    0.7%

    bid 0.2% · ask 1.2%

  11. Jon Stewart

    Will Jon Stewart be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.6K
    0.3%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.4%

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