Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $2.9K
bid 34.0% · ask 37.0%
Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.
The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
bid 34.0% · ask 37.0%
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
bid 23.0% · ask 27.0%
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
bid 13.0% · ask 29.0%
Spread too wide to claim
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
bid 12.0% · ask 19.0%
Will SPD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
bid 0.2% · ask 0.8%
Will BSW win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Will FDP win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Will FW win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Wallet only. No email, no IP logs.
Pick the narrowest step you actually believe in: the lower its price, the more a correct call is worth, and the more a wrong one costs.
Write what you know. The market price and time are locked into the record by the server, and nothing can be edited afterwards, only added to.
Connect walletOne thread per forecaster. Nothing is edited, only added to.
No public claims on this event yet.
Claims appear here once their delay expires.
Publish the first one