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Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?

Category
Politics
Ladder
Threshold ladder
Open
4 markets
Liquidity
$76.9K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. 17

    Will Linke win less than 17% of all valid second votes?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.3K
    18.0%

    bid 17.0% · ask 19.0%

  2. 23

    Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $14.5K
    16.5%

    bid 15.0% · ask 18.0%

  3. Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $31.1K
    37.5%

    bid 37.0% · ask 38.0%

  4. Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $18.4K
    23.0%

    bid 22.0% · ask 24.0%

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