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Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

Category
Politics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
7 markets
Liquidity
$206.2K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. 35+

    Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $66K
    28.9%

    bid 28.2% · ask 29.5%

  2. 29 31

    Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $26.7K
    24.5%

    bid 24.0% · ask 25.0%

  3. 32 34

    Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $35.6K
    23.5%

    bid 23.0% · ask 24.0%

  4. 26 28

    Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $16.7K
    12.0%

    bid 11.0% · ask 13.0%

  5. 23 25

    Will AfD win 23-25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $24.5K
    3.3%

    bid 1.7% · ask 4.9%

  6. 20 22

    Will AfD win 20-22 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $25.3K
    1.8%

    bid 0.5% · ask 3.0%

  7. <20

    Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.4K
    1.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 2.4%

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