Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

Category: Politics
Ladder: Candidate ladder
Open: 13 markets
Liquidity: $128K
Closes: in 30d

Catalog updated 2m ago. Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

Flavio Bolsonaro
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$8.9K
85.5%
bid 83.0% · ask 88.0%
Lula
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$13.7K
12.9%
bid 10.9% · ask 14.9%
Pablo Marçal
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$9.5K
0.3%
Renan Santos
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$9.6K
0.1%
bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%
Clariana Barao
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$9.9K
0.1%
Edmilson Costa
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$9.7K
0.1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$9.9K
0.1%
Hertz Dias
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$9.3K
0.1%
Ronaldo Caiado
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$9.7K
0.1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$9.5K
0.1%
Samara
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$9.6K
0.1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$10.1K
0.1%
Zema
Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Closes
in 30d
Liquidity
$9.4K
0.1%

Publish a claim

Wallet only. No email, no IP logs.

Pick the narrowest step you actually believe in: the lower its price, the more a correct call is worth, and the more a wrong one costs.

Write what you know. The market price and time are locked into the record by the server, and nothing can be edited afterwards, only added to.

Connect wallet

Threads

One thread per forecaster. Nothing is edited, only added to.

No public claims on this event yet.

Claims appear here once their delay expires.

Publish the first one