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Closest Governor's Race?

Category
Politics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
18 markets
Liquidity
$101.4K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Texas

    Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $577.4
    20.9%

    bid 11.0% · ask 30.8%

    Spread too wide to claim

  2. Georgia

    Will Georgia have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.9K
    15.9%

    bid 15.4% · ask 16.5%

  3. Ohio

    Will Ohio have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.7K
    13.3%

    bid 12.0% · ask 14.7%

  4. Alaska

    Will Alaska have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.9K
    10.7%

    bid 9.6% · ask 11.8%

  5. Minnesota

    Will Minnesota have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $463.8
    9.8%

    bid 0.3% · ask 19.2%

    Spread too wide to claim

  6. Iowa

    Will Iowa have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9.3K
    9.3%

    bid 7.3% · ask 11.2%

  7. Nevada

    Will Nevada have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.9K
    8.5%

    bid 7.0% · ask 10.0%

  8. Oregon

    Will Oregon have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $468.6
    7.5%

    bid 5.1% · ask 10.0%

  9. Kansas

    Will Kansas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9K
    6.2%

    bid 5.5% · ask 6.9%

  10. Florida

    Will Florida have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $442
    5.8%

    bid 5.1% · ask 6.4%

  11. Vermont

    Will Vermont have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $395.9
    3.8%

    bid 0.4% · ask 7.2%

  12. Michigan

    Will Michigan have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $452.8
    3.6%

    bid 0.3% · ask 7.0%

  13. Colorado

    Will Colorado have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.5K
    3.4%

    bid 0.3% · ask 6.5%

  14. Wisconsin

    Will Wisconsin have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $956.9
    3.1%

    bid 0.3% · ask 5.9%

  15. New Mexico

    Will New Mexico have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.8K
    2.6%

    bid 2.5% · ask 2.7%

  16. New Hampshire

    Will New Hampshire have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.8K
    2.5%

    bid 0.2% · ask 4.9%

  17. Arizona

    Will Arizona have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.7K
    2.2%

    bid 0.3% · ask 4.1%

  18. Maine

    Will Maine have the closest Governor's race in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.5K
    1.1%

    bid 0.2% · ask 2.0%

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