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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Category
Politics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
16 markets
Liquidity
$118.1K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Éric Zemmour

    Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $317.1
    84.5%

    bid 82.0% · ask 87.0%

  2. Dominique de Villepin

    Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $377.5
    71.0%

    bid 69.0% · ask 73.0%

  3. François Hollande

    Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $386.1
    61.0%

    bid 41.0% · ask 81.0%

    Spread too wide to claim

  4. Bernard Cazeneuve

    Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $227.3
    53.5%

    bid 52.0% · ask 55.0%

  5. Yaël Braun-Pivet

    Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.3K
    11.8%

    bid 8.7% · ask 15.0%

  6. Jordan Bardella

    Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9.6K
    9.5%

    bid 9.0% · ask 10.0%

  7. Michel Barnier

    Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.8K
    9.5%

    bid 9.0% · ask 10.0%

  8. Sébastien Lecornu

    Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $10.2K
    9.5%

    bid 9.0% · ask 10.0%

  9. François Bayrou

    Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.6K
    8.1%

    bid 7.8% · ask 8.4%

  10. Manuel Bompard

    Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.9K
    7.0%

    bid 6.0% · ask 8.0%

  11. Élisabeth Borne

    Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9K
    5.5%

    bid 5.2% · ask 5.7%

  12. Mathilde Panot

    Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.6K
    4.9%

    bid 4.7% · ask 5.1%

  13. Valérie Pécresse

    Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.6K
    4.9%

    bid 3.7% · ask 6.1%

  14. Carole Delga

    Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9.1K
    4.5%

    bid 4.0% · ask 5.0%

  15. Jean Castex

    Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9.1K
    2.8%

    bid 1.5% · ask 4.0%

  16. Gérald Darmanin

    Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.6K
    2.6%

    bid 1.5% · ask 3.7%

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