Marine Le Pen
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $18.6K
bid 87.0% · ask 89.0%
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
- Category
- Politics
- Ladder
- Candidate ladder
- Open
- 36 markets
- Liquidity
- $630.6K
- Closes
Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.
Resolution rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.
The ladder
The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $35.8K
bid 40.0% · ask 41.0%
- Édouard Philippe
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $4.7K
bid 39.0% · ask 41.0%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $791.3
bid 1.9% · ask 22.4%
Spread too wide to claim
- Jordan Bardella
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $12K
bid 9.0% · ask 10.0%
- Gabriel Attal
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $23.5K
bid 7.7% · ask 7.9%
- Olivier Faure
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $19.2K
bid 5.7% · ask 6.0%
- Dominique de Villepin
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $17.7K
bid 5.0% · ask 6.0%
- Raphaël Glucksmann
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $20.3K
bid 5.0% · ask 5.6%
- Fabien Roussel
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $23.6K
bid 4.9% · ask 5.5%
- François Hollande
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $20.8K
bid 4.0% · ask 6.0%
- Manuel Bompard
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $23.4K
bid 4.2% · ask 5.4%
- Élisabeth Borne
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $54.6K
bid 4.2% · ask 4.5%
- Sarah Knafo
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $17.1K
bid 2.7% · ask 6.0%
- Mathilde Panot
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $15.9K
bid 1.6% · ask 7.0%
- Bernard Cazeneuve
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $18.2K
bid 3.7% · ask 4.4%
- Sébastien Lecornu
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $15.3K
bid 2.8% · ask 4.8%
- Laurent Wauquiez
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $15.5K
bid 3.7% · ask 3.8%
- François Bayrou
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $33.6K
bid 2.1% · ask 5.0%
- Éric Zemmour
Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.1K
bid 1.5% · ask 5.1%
- Gérald Darmanin
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.5K
bid 1.5% · ask 4.5%
- Michel Barnier
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $13K
bid 2.2% · ask 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $12.5K
bid 1.5% · ask 4.5%
- Bruno Retailleau
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.7K
bid 2.0% · ask 3.7%
- David Lisnard
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.7K
bid 2.6% · ask 2.9%
- Juan Branco
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $46.2K
bid 1.7% · ask 3.6%
- Carole Delga
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $17.5K
bid 2.3% · ask 2.9%
- Ségolène Royal
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.7K
bid 1.0% · ask 3.5%
- François Ruffin
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $12.3K
bid 1.1% · ask 3.3%
- Clémentine Autain
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $15.6K
bid 1.0% · ask 3.2%
- François Asselineau
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $12.4K
bid 1.6% · ask 2.0%
- Xavier Bertrand
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.3K
bid 0.3% · ask 2.0%
- Clémence Guetté
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $12.3K
bid 0.7% · ask 1.0%
- Jean Castex
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.6K
bid 0.5% · ask 1.2%
- Marine Tondelier
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.5K
bid 0.2% · ask 1.4%
- Valérie Pécresse
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $13K
bid 0.3% · ask 1.2%
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