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NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

Category
Politics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
7 markets
Liquidity
$55.7K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. 35 39

    Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $1.8K
    38.0%

    bid 37.0% · ask 39.0%

  2. 30 34

    Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $1.1K
    36.5%

    bid 36.0% · ask 37.0%

  3. 40 44

    Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9K
    8.5%

    bid 6.0% · ask 11.0%

  4. <25

    Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $1K
    7.4%

    bid 1.6% · ask 13.2%

    Spread too wide to claim

  5. 25 29

    Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $15.2K
    0.7%

    bid 0.5% · ask 0.8%

  6. 45 49

    Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9.8K
    0.5%

    bid 0.4% · ask 0.5%

  7. 50+

    Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $17.5K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

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