Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $20.4K
bid 10.0% · ask 11.0%
Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.
The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.
Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?
bid 10.0% · ask 11.0%
Will CDU win at least 26% of all valid second votes?
bid 12.0% · ask 13.0%
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?
bid 46.0% · ask 48.0%
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?
bid 32.0% · ask 33.0%
Wallet only. No email, no IP logs.
Pick the narrowest step you actually believe in: the lower its price, the more a correct call is worth, and the more a wrong one costs.
Write what you know. The market price and time are locked into the record by the server, and nothing can be edited afterwards, only added to.
Connect walletOne thread per forecaster. Nothing is edited, only added to.
No public claims on this event yet.
Claims appear here once their delay expires.
Publish the first one