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São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Category
Politics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
5 markets
Liquidity
$197K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Tarcísio de Freitas

    Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $58K
    98.0%

    bid 97.4% · ask 98.5%

  2. Fernando Haddad

    Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $33.7K
    1.5%

    bid 0.9% · ask 2.1%

  3. Erika Hilton

    Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $37.8K
    0.5%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.8%

  4. Kim Kataguiri

    Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $28.2K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  5. Márcio França

    Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $38.7K
    0.1%

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Threads

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