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Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?

PoliticsCloses Updated

This event is no longer tracked. Prices may be stale.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Polymarket resolves it. insiderz only reads the outcome.

Markets

The less likely the market thinks it is, the more a right call counts.

  1. 5% · Will Green Party (MP) win less than 5% of all valid votes?

    Closes

    11.5%

    Price too unstable right now

  2. 9% · Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?

    Closes

    4.1%
  3. Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?

    Closes

    44.5%
  4. Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?

    Closes

    37.5%

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