Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
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bid 40.0% · ask 42.0%
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
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Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
bid 40.0% · ask 42.0%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
bid 27.0% · ask 29.0%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 110-114 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
bid 18.0% · ask 22.0%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 115-119 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
bid 0.8% · ask 5.7%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 120-124 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
bid 0.4% · ask 1.3%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 130 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
bid 0.1% · ask 1.2%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 125-129 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
bid 0.2% · ask 1.0%
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