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Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Category
Politics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
16 markets
Liquidity
$191.6K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Delcy Rodríguez

    Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $22.2K
    91.5%

    bid 91.0% · ask 92.0%

  2. María Corina Machado

    Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $24.4K
    4.3%

    bid 4.1% · ask 4.4%

  3. Marco Rubio

    Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $1.5K
    1.6%

    bid 0.3% · ask 2.9%

  4. Dinorah Figuera

    Will Dinorah Figuera be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $10.5K
    1.0%

    bid 0.6% · ask 1.4%

  5. No Head of State

    Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $10.8K
    0.6%

    bid 0.3% · ask 0.9%

  6. Edmundo González

    Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $10.6K
    0.5%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.8%

  7. Pete Hegseth

    Will Pete Hegseth be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $11.8K
    0.4%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.7%

  8. Dan Caine

    Will Dan Caine be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9.8K
    0.3%

    bid 0.3% · ask 0.4%

  9. Jorge Rodríguez

    Will Jorge Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $11.1K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.5%

  10. Nicolás Maduro

    Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $10.8K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.4%

  11. Diosdado Cabello Rondón

    Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.1K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  12. Donald Trump

    Will Donald Trump be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $11K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  13. Evan Pettus

    Will Evan Pettus be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $11K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  14. Richard Grenell

    Will Richard Grenell be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  15. Vladimir Padrino López

    Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $10.7K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  16. Frank Donovan

    Will Frank Donovan be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $10.4K
    0.1%

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