insiderz.
Connect wallet
← Markets

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Category
Politics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
15 markets
Liquidity
$245.2K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. 4.0%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $3.6K
    41.5%

    bid 38.4% · ask 44.5%

  2. 3.75%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.1K
    25.9%

    bid 24.7% · ask 27.2%

  3. 4.25%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $6.5K
    18.3%

    bid 17.2% · ask 19.3%

  4. 3.5%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.6K
    7.8%

    bid 7.5% · ask 8.2%

  5. ≥ 4.5%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $4.4K
    5.6%

    bid 5.1% · ask 6.1%

  6. 1.25

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $22.6K
    0.8%

    bid 0.7% · ask 0.8%

  7. 2.5%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $9.8K
    0.6%

    bid 0.5% · ask 0.6%

  8. 2.75%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $23.5K
    0.5%

    bid 0.4% · ask 0.5%

  9. 3.25%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $22.5K
    0.5%

    bid 0.4% · ask 0.5%

  10. ≤1.0%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $28.5K
    0.3%

    bid 0.3% · ask 0.4%

  11. 1.5%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $18.2K
    0.3%

    bid 0.3% · ask 0.4%

  12. 2.25%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $19.7K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.4%

  13. 3.0%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $19K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.4%

  14. 1.75%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $21.7K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

  15. 2.0%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $23.3K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

Publish a claim

Wallet only. No email, no IP logs.

Pick the narrowest step you actually believe in: the lower its price, the more a correct call is worth, and the more a wrong one costs.

Write what you know. The market price at that second is locked into the record with a timestamp and a hash, and nothing can be edited afterwards, only added to.

Connect wallet

Threads

One thread per forecaster. Nothing is edited, only added to.

No public claims on this event yet.

Claims appear here once their delay expires.

Publish the first one