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Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Category
Tech
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
21 markets
Liquidity
$959.6K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Anthropic

    Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $23K
    79.5%

    bid 79.0% · ask 80.0%

  2. OpenAI

    Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $22.6K
    17.9%

    bid 17.3% · ask 18.4%

  3. Google

    Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $22.9K
    2.3%

    bid 2.0% · ask 2.6%

  4. SpaceXAI

    Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $43.5K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.5%

  5. Meta

    Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $48.4K
    0.2%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.3%

  6. Alibaba

    Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $49.9K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  7. Moonshot

    Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $35.4K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  8. Z.ai

    Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $42.3K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  9. Amazon

    Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $56.1K
    0.1%
  10. Baidu

    Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $43.8K
    0.1%
  11. ByteDance

    Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $47.8K
    0.1%
  12. DeepSeek

    Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $66.1K
    0.1%
  13. Meituan

    Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $58.9K
    0.1%
  14. Microsoft

    Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $29.8K
    0.1%
  15. MiniMax

    Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $56.2K
    0.1%
  16. Mistral

    Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $37.7K
    0.1%
  17. Nvidia

    Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $56.6K
    0.1%
  18. StepFun

    Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $56.8K
    0.1%
  19. Tencent

    Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $57.5K
    0.1%
  20. Thinky

    Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $58.8K
    0.1%
  21. Xiaomi

    Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $49.2K
    0.1%

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