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Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

PoliticsCloses Updated

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket resolves it. insiderz only reads the outcome.

Markets

The less likely the market thinks it is, the more a right call counts.

  1. Ted Cruz · Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes

    41.5%

  2. Rand Paul · Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes

    18.9%

    Price too unstable right now

  3. Ron DeSantis · Will Ron DeSantis be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes

    15.0%

  4. Vivek Ramaswamy · Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes

    13.6%

    Price too unstable right now

  5. J.D. Vance · Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes

    11.0%

  6. Marjorie Taylor Greene · Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes

    10.9%

    Price too unstable right now

  7. Donald Trump · Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes

    9.8%

  8. Marco Rubio · Will Marco Rubio be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes

    6.8%

  9. Donald Trump Jr. · Will Donald Trump Jr. be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes

    5.9%

  10. Glenn Youngkin · Will Glenn Youngkin be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

    Closes

    1.4%

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