Texas
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $25K
bid 78.0% · ask 80.0%
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
- Category
- Politics
- Ladder
- Candidate ladder
- Open
- 18 markets
- Liquidity
- $194.5K
- Closes
Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.
Resolution rules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.
The ladder
The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.
- Michigan
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.9K
bid 51.0% · ask 78.0%
Spread too wide to claim
- Iowa
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.9K
bid 61.0% · ask 63.0%
- Maine
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.8K
bid 61.0% · ask 62.0%
- Ohio (Special)
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $11.6K
bid 58.0% · ask 59.0%
- Alaska
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $11.2K
bid 20.0% · ask 75.0%
Spread too wide to claim
- North Carolina
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $5.3K
bid 42.0% · ask 43.0%
- New Hampshire
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $8.6K
bid 27.0% · ask 54.0%
Spread too wide to claim
- Nebraska
Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $8.9K
bid 38.0% · ask 42.0%
- Florida (Special)
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $10.4K
bid 35.0% · ask 39.0%
- Georgia
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $6.2K
bid 27.0% · ask 30.0%
- South Carolina
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $169
bid 25.0% · ask 30.0%
- Kansas
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $225.1
bid 23.0% · ask 24.0%
- Minnesota
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $14.9K
bid 16.0% · ask 20.0%
- New Mexico
Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $18.8K
bid 10.0% · ask 11.0%
- Montana
Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $12.6K
bid 7.4% · ask 10.0%
- Colorado
Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $13.3K
bid 3.2% · ask 5.1%
- Virginia
Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $14.9K
bid 0.9% · ask 6.6%
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