Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $53.2K
bid 4.4% · ask 4.5%
Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.
The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
bid 4.4% · ask 4.5%
Wallet only. No email, no IP logs.
Pick the narrowest step you actually believe in: the lower its price, the more a correct call is worth, and the more a wrong one costs.
Write what you know. The market price at that second is locked into the record with a timestamp and a hash, and nothing can be edited afterwards, only added to.
Connect walletOne thread per forecaster. Nothing is edited, only added to.
No public claims on this event yet.
Claims appear here once their delay expires.
Publish the first one