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Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

PoliticsCierra Actualizado

Reglas de resolución

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Polymarket lo resuelve. insiderz solo lee el resultado.

Mercados

Cuanto menos probable crea el mercado que sea, más cuenta una call acertada.

  1. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

    Cierra

    98,0%
  2. Flavio Bolsonaro · Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

    Cierra

    96,4%
  3. Renan Santos · Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

    Cierra

    2,4%
  4. Ronaldo Caiado · Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

    Cierra

    1,4%
  5. Romeu Zema · Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

    Cierra

    1,3%
  6. Jair Bolsonaro · Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

    Cierra

    1,1%
  7. Michelle Bolsonaro · Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

    Cierra

    1,1%
  8. Tarcisio de Frietas · Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

    Cierra

    1,1%
  9. Fernando Haddad · Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

    Cierra

    0,6%

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