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Fed rate cut by...?

EconomyClôture Mis à jour

Règles de résolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket décide du résultat. insiderz se contente de le lire.

Marchés

Moins le marché juge le résultat probable, plus un call qui a vu juste compte.

  1. 8 oct. 2026 · Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

    Clôture

    0,5%

  2. 8 nov. 2026 · Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

    Clôture

    3,8%

  3. 8 janv. 2027 · Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

    Clôture

    6,0%

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