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GPT-6 released by…?

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Règles de résolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Marchés

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  1. 15 sept. 2026 · Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

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  2. 30 sept. 2026 · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

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  3. 31 oct. 2026 · Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?

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    99,6%
  4. 30 nov. 2026 · Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?

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    99,8%
  5. 31 déc. 2026 · Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

    Clôture

    99,9%

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