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GPT-6 released by…?

Category
Business
Ladder
Date ladder
Open
5 markets
Liquidity
$146.5K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Sep 15, 2026

    Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $35.2K
    98.7%

    bid 97.8% · ask 99.5%

  2. Sep 30, 2026

    Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $28.5K
    98.5%

    bid 97.5% · ask 99.6%

  3. Oct 31, 2026

    Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $32.1K
    99.7%

    bid 99.4% · ask 99.9%

  4. Nov 30, 2026

    Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $21.6K
    99.8%

    bid 99.7% · ask 99.8%

  5. Dec 31, 2026

    Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $29K
    99.5%

    bid 99.3% · ask 99.7%

Publish a claim

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Pick the narrowest step you actually believe in: the lower its price, the more a correct call is worth, and the more a wrong one costs.

Write what you know. The market price at that second is locked into the record with a timestamp and a hash, and nothing can be edited afterwards, only added to.

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Threads

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No public claims on this event yet.

Claims appear here once their delay expires.

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