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1 509 événements

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • 1 (25 bps) · Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?42,5%
  • 0 (0 bps) · Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?28,5%
  • 2 (50 bps) · Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?23,0%
  • 3 (75 bps) · Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?5,0%
  • 4 (100 bps) · Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?0,9%
  • 5+ (125+ bps) · Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?0,8%

HI-02 House Election Winner

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat?5,5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?95,5%

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

EconomyClôture 0 call

  • Pause–Pause–Pause · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?25,5%
  • Hike–Pause–Pause · Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?17,5%
  • Pause–Pause–Hike · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?13,0%
  • Hike–Hike–Pause · Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?12,5%
  • Hike–Pause–Hike · Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?9,5%
  • Pause–Hike–Pause · Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?7,6%
+3 de plus

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 4.35M-4.5M · Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?28,5%
  • 4.2M-4.35M · Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000?21,6%
  • 4.65M-4.8M · Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?14,0%
  • 3.9M-4.05M · Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 3,900,000 and 4,050,000?11,0%
  • 4.5M-4.65M · Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?8,4%
  • 4.95M-5.1M · Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,950,000 and 5,100,000?7,5%
+4 de plus

Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Capitão Contar · Will Capitão Contar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?58,0%
  • Vander Loubet · Will Vander Loubet win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?25,0%
  • Soraya · Will Soraya win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?13,9%
  • Reinaldo Azambuja · Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?5,5%
  • Roberto Oshiro · Will Roberto Oshiro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?0,2%
  • Luiz Lemes · Will Luiz Lemes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?0,2%
+4 de plus

Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?19,0%
  • Democrat 3-6% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?17,0%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?16,5%
  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?15,5%
  • Democrat 12%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 12% or more?10,0%
  • Democrat 6-9% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?7,0%
+4 de plus

FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 20%-25%?16,5%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 25%-30%?13,5%
  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 15%-20%?13,0%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 30%-35%?8,5%
  • Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 10%-15%?7,5%
  • Democrat Wins · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election?4,4%
+3 de plus

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

TechClôture 0 call

  • 31 déc. 2026 · Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?3,7%
  • 30 juin 2027 · Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027?53,0%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?65,0%

AR-03 House Election Winner

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?94,5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the AR-03 House seat?5,5%

Norfolk State vs. Virginia

SportsClôture 0 call

  • Norfolk State O/U 0.5 · Norfolk State Rushing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550,0%
  • Norfolk State O/U 2.5 · Norfolk State Rushing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550,0%
  • Norfolk State O/U 3.5 · Norfolk State Rushing Touchdowns: O/U 3.550,0%
  • Virginia O/U 0.5 · Virginia Rushing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550,0%
  • Virginia O/U 1.5 · Virginia Rushing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550,0%
  • Norfolk State O/U 1.5 · Norfolk State Rushing Touchdowns: O/U 1.549,5%
+6 de plus

Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?23,5%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?19,5%
  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?16,5%
  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?14,5%
  • Republican 9-12% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?9,5%
  • Republican 15-18% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?4,2%
+4 de plus

KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Republican 35-40% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 35%-40%?17,5%
  • Republican 40-45% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 40%-45%?15,0%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 30%-35%?14,0%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 20%-25%?13,5%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 25%-30%?10,5%
  • Republican 45-50% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 45%-50%?10,5%
+4 de plus

MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 20%-25%?16,5%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 25%-30%?14,5%
  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 15%-20%?13,5%
  • Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 5%-10%?13,5%
  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 30%-35%?11,5%
  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 10%-15%?9,5%
+3 de plus

New York City FC vs. New England Revolution

SportsClôture 0 call

  • New York City FC · Will New York City FC win on 2026-09-09?44,0%
  • New England Revolution · Will New England Revolution win on 2026-09-09?29,5%
  • Draw (New York City FC vs. New England Revolution) · Will New York City FC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?25,5%

Altai Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?96,6%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?0,8%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?0,5%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?0,5%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?0,3%
  • Communists of Russia · Will Communists of Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?0,2%
+1 de plus

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

CryptoClôture 0 call

  • $200M · Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?36,5%
  • $400M · Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?29,5%
  • $600M · Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?17,0%
  • $800M · Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?9,0%
  • $1B · Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?11,5%
  • $1.5B · Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?10,5%
+3 de plus

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 31 déc. 2026 · Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?3,3%
  • 30 juin 2027 · Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?10,5%

MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 20%-25%?28,5%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 25%-30%?17,5%
  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 30%-35%?13,0%
  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 15%-20%?12,0%
  • Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 35%-40%?10,5%
  • Democrat 0-5% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 0%-5%?7,0%
+4 de plus

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 3rd Place

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • SPD · Will SPD win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?96,0%
  • The Left · Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?1,6%
  • The Greens · Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?1,0%
  • CDU · Will CDU win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0,3%
  • BSW · Will BSW win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0,2%
  • FDP · Will FDP win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0,2%
+1 de plus

GA-03 House Election Winner

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Will the Republican Party win the GA-03 House seat?94,5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the GA-03 House seat?5,5%

Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Democrat 9-12% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?20,5%
  • Democrat 3-6% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?20,0%
  • Democrat 6-9% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?19,0%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?17,0%
  • Democrat 12%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 12% or more?12,3%
  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?7,5%
+4 de plus

MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Democrat 5-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 5%-15%?22,3%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 20%-25%?21,0%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 25%-30%?20,5%
  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 30%-35%?17,0%
  • Democrat 40-45% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 40%-45%?11,0%
  • Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 35%-40%?9,3%
+4 de plus

AL-05 House Election Winner

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?94,5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?5,5%

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Democrat 3-6% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?20,5%
  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?19,5%
  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?16,5%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?13,5%
  • Democrat 6-9% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?10,5%
  • Democrat 9-12% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?5,3%
+4 de plus

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?

GeopoliticsClôture 0 call

  • 15 sept. 2026 · Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15?14,5%
  • 30 sept. 2026 · Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?39,5%
  • 31 oct. 2026 · Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?79,5%
  • 31 déc. 2027 · Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?90,5%

ID-02 House Election Winner

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Will the Republican Party win the ID-02 House seat?95,0%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the ID-02 House seat?5,5%

Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Henrik Fritzon · Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?47,5%
  • Carl Johan Sonesson · Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?37,5%
  • Anna Jähnke · Will Anna Jähnke be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?1,5%
  • Lisa Flinth · Will Lisa Flinth be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?0,7%
  • Niclas Nilsson · Will Niclas Nilsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?0,4%

Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club

SportsClôture 0 call

  • Al Ettifaq Saudi Club · Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-09-08?49,5%
  • Al Faisaly Saudi Club · Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-09-08?27,5%
  • Draw (Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club) · Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club end in a draw?25,5%

Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Republican 40-45% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 40%-45%?18,5%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 30%-35%?17,5%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 25%-30%?16,1%
  • Republican 45-50% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 45%-50%?13,0%
  • Republican 35-40% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 35%-40%?12,0%
  • Republican 50%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 50% or more?9,5%
+5 de plus

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsClôture 0 call

  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 15%-20%?17,5%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 20%-25%?16,5%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 25%-30%?14,5%
  • Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 10%-15%?13,5%
  • Republican 5-10% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 5%-10%?12,0%
  • Republican 30%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 30% or more?3,6%
+2 de plus

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