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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

PoliticsFecha Atualizado

Regras de resolução

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

A Polymarket resolve. A insiderz apenas lê o resultado.

Mercados

Quanto menos provável o mercado considerar o resultado, mais vale uma call certa.

  1. Marine Le Pen · Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    87,0%

  2. Jean-Luc Mélenchon · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    41,0%

  3. Édouard Philippe · Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    40,5%

  4. Jordan Bardella · Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    9,5%

  5. Yaël Braun-Pivet · Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    8,3%

  6. Gabriel Attal · Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    6,9%

  7. Olivier Faure · Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    5,9%

  8. Dominique de Villepin · Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    5,5%

  9. François Hollande · Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    5,5%

  10. Raphaël Glucksmann · Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    5,3%

  11. Fabien Roussel · Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    5,2%

  12. Mathilde Panot · Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    4,9%

  13. Manuel Bompard · Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    4,5%

  14. Sarah Knafo · Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    4,3%

  15. Élisabeth Borne · Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    4,3%

  16. Sébastien Lecornu · Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    3,9%

  17. Laurent Wauquiez · Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    3,8%

  18. Éric Zemmour · Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    3,5%

  19. François Bayrou · Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    3,4%

  20. Bernard Cazeneuve · Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    3,4%

  21. Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    3,1%

  22. Gérald Darmanin · Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    3,0%

  23. Michel Barnier · Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    3,0%

  24. Bruno Retailleau · Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    2,9%

  25. David Lisnard · Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    2,8%

  26. Carole Delga · Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    2,6%

  27. Juan Branco · Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    2,5%

  28. François Ruffin · Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    2,3%

  29. Ségolène Royal · Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    2,3%

  30. Clémentine Autain · Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    2,2%

  31. François Asselineau · Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    1,8%

  32. Xavier Bertrand · Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    1,2%

  33. Jean Castex · Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    0,9%

  34. Clémence Guetté · Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    0,8%

  35. Marine Tondelier · Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    0,8%

  36. Valérie Pécresse · Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    Fecha

    0,8%

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