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Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

PoliticsFecha Atualizado

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

A Polymarket resolve. A insiderz apenas lê o resultado.

Mercados

Quanto menos provável o mercado considerar o resultado, mais vale uma call certa.

  1. Delcy Rodríguez · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    95,0%

  2. María Corina Machado · Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    3,2%

  3. Dinorah Figuera · Will Dinorah Figuera be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    1,0%

  4. No Head of State · Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,6%

  5. Marco Rubio · Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,5%

  6. Jorge Rodríguez · Will Jorge Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,3%

  7. Pete Hegseth · Will Pete Hegseth be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,3%

  8. Edmundo González · Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,2%

  9. Dan Caine · Will Dan Caine be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,2%

  10. Diosdado Cabello Rondón · Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,2%

  11. Evan Pettus · Will Evan Pettus be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,2%

  12. Nicolás Maduro · Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,2%

  13. Richard Grenell · Will Richard Grenell be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,2%

  14. Vladimir Padrino López · Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,1%

  15. Donald Trump · Will Donald Trump be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,1%

  16. Frank Donovan · Will Frank Donovan be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

    Fecha

    0,1%

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