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Which Senate races will be within 5%?

PoliticsSchließt Aktualisiert

Auflösungsregeln

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Märkte

Je unwahrscheinlicher der Markt es hält, desto mehr zählt ein richtiger Call.

  1. Texas · Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    79,5%

  2. Michigan · Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    67,5%

    Preis derzeit zu instabil

  3. Iowa · Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    60,5%

  4. Ohio (Special) · Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    58,5%

  5. South Carolina · Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    57,5%

    Preis derzeit zu instabil

  6. Maine · Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    57,0%

  7. Alaska · Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    53,5%

    Preis derzeit zu instabil

  8. North Carolina · Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    40,5%

  9. Nebraska · Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    39,5%

  10. New Hampshire · Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    37,5%

  11. Florida (Special) · Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    36,5%

  12. Georgia · Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    29,5%

  13. Kansas · Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    24,5%

  14. Minnesota · Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    22,0%

  15. New Mexico · Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    10,5%

  16. Montana · Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    10,0%

  17. Virginia · Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    4,4%

  18. Colorado · Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

    Schließt

    4,0%

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