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Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Category
Economy
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
5 markets
Liquidity
$140.8K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Other

    Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $15.8K
    56.5%

    bid 56.0% · ask 57.0%

  2. Pause–Pause–Pause

    Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.8K
    44.5%

    bid 44.0% · ask 45.0%

  3. Pause–Pause–Cut

    Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $32.2K
    2.1%

    bid 1.2% · ask 3.1%

  4. Pause–Cut–Pause

    Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $39K
    0.5%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.8%

  5. Pause–Cut–Cut

    Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $39.7K
    0.1%

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