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Events from Polymarket. Each one is a ladder: the tighter the step you commit to, the lower the price, and the more a correct call is worth.

Catalog updated . Ingestion runs every five minutes.

16 events

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$4.4M
Open
13 markets
Claims
0
  • 0 (0 bps) · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?88.7%
  • 1 (25 bps) · Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?8.5%
  • 2 (50 bps) · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?2.5%
  • 3 (75 bps) · Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.5%
  • 4 (100 bps) · Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.3%
and 8 more markets →

Largest Company end of December 2026?

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$1.3M
Open
8 markets
Claims
0
  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?76.5%
  • Apple · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?15.2%
  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?7.5%
  • SpaceX · Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?0.8%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?0.8%
and 3 more markets →

Largest Company end of September?

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$1.1M
Open
9 markets
Claims
0
  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?92.5%
  • Apple · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?6.5%
  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0.8%
  • Amazon · Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0.1%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0.1%
and 4 more markets →

Fed rate cut by...?

EconomyDate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$318.8K
Open
3 markets
Claims
0
  • Oct 8, 2026 · Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?0.8%
  • Nov 8, 2026 · Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?3.7%
  • Jan 8, 2027 · Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?11.5%

3rd Largest Company end of September?

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$246.9K
Open
9 markets
Claims
0
  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?83.5%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?11.3%
  • Apple · Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?4.5%
  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?1.1%
  • Amazon · Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0.1%
and 4 more markets →

Fed rate hike by...?

Economy
Closes
Liquidity
$204.2K
Open
2 markets
Claims
0
  • Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?42.5%
  • Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?56.5%

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$176.9K
Open
9 markets
Claims
0
  • Apple · Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?59.0%
  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?29.5%
  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?11.0%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?4.0%
  • SpaceX · Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?1.5%
and 4 more markets →

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$146.4K
Open
5 markets
Claims
0
  • 25 bps increase · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?99.3%
  • No change · Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?0.7%
  • 50+ bps increase · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?0.2%
  • 25 bps decrease · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?0.1%
  • 50+ bps decrease · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?0.1%

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$139.6K
Open
5 markets
Claims
0
  • Other · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?56.5%
  • Pause–Pause–Pause · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?44.5%
  • Pause–Pause–Cut · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?2.1%
  • Pause–Cut–Pause · Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?0.5%
  • Pause–Cut–Cut · Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?0.1%

2nd Largest Company end of September?

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$135.5K
Open
9 markets
Claims
0
  • Apple · Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?87.0%
  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?6.5%
  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?6.0%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0.5%
  • Amazon · Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0.1%
and 4 more markets →

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$107.3K
Open
5 markets
Claims
0
  • 25 bps increase · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?98.3%
  • No change · Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?1.1%
  • 50+ bps increase · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?0.9%
  • 25 bps decrease · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?0.1%
  • 50+ bps decrease · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?0.1%

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$87.6K
Open
10 markets
Claims
0
  • 4.0–5.0% · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?89.0%
  • 5.0–6.0% · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?6.3%
  • 9.0%+ · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?1.4%
  • 8.0–9.0% · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?1.4%
  • 3.0–4.0% · Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?1.2%
and 5 more markets →

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$78.8K
Open
6 markets
Claims
0
  • 1 (25 bps) · Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?37.5%
  • 0 (0 bps) · Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?36.5%
  • 2 (50 bps) · Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?24.0%
  • 3 (75 bps) · Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?5.3%
  • 5+ (125+ bps) · Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?0.8%
and 1 more market →

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$76.4K
Open
9 markets
Claims
0
  • Alphabet · Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?54.5%
  • Apple · Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?24.0%
  • Microsoft · Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?19.0%
  • NVIDIA · Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?2.9%
  • Broadcom · Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?1.4%
and 4 more markets →

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

EconomyCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$65.5K
Open
3 markets
Claims
0
  • Pause–Pause–Pause · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?58.0%
  • Other · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?41.0%
  • Pause–Pause–Cut · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?0.6%

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