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Events from Polymarket. Each one is a ladder: the tighter the step you commit to, the lower the price, and the more a correct call is worth.

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28 events

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $1.7M
Open: 45 markets
Claims: 0

Erling Haaland · Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?16.5%
Bad Bunny · Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?12.5%
Lionel Messi · Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?6.9%
Donald Trump · Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?6.5%
Sabrina Carpenter · Will Sabrina Carpenter be the #1 searched person on Google this year?4.5%

and 40 more markets →

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $1.4M
Open: 55 markets
Claims: 0

Nicolás Maduro · Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?11.7%
Erling Haaland · Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?11.7%
Bad Bunny · Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?10.0%
Donald Trump · Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?6.7%
Taylor Swift · Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?2.6%

and 50 more markets →

#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $1.3M
Open: 45 markets
Claims: 0

Euphoria · Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?26.0%
Heated Rivalry · Will Heated Rivalry be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?7.5%
Stranger Things · Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?7.4%
A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms · Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?6.8%
The Boys · Will The Boys be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?6.0%

and 40 more markets →

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $764.3K
Open: 15 markets
Claims: 0

Anthropic · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?66.0%
OpenAI · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?18.5%
Google · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?8.5%
xAI · Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?4.2%
Meta · Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?1.9%

and 10 more markets →

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $760.8K
Open: 12 markets
Claims: 0

Anthropic · Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?58.4%
SpaceX · Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?39.0%
OpenAI · Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?1.6%
ByteDance · Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%
Databricks · Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%

and 7 more markets →

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $512.6K
Open: 20 markets
Claims: 0

The Odyssey · Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?35.0%
Obsession · Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?30.0%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?16.5%
Avengers: Doomsday · Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?8.8%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie · Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?3.8%

and 15 more markets →

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $365.1K
Open: 24 markets
Claims: 0

Dolly Parton · Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?47.0%
Oliver Tree · Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?20.5%
Ali Khamenei · Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?11.5%
Renée Good · Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?4.7%
Alex Pretti · Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?3.0%

and 19 more markets →

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $335.5K
Open: 10 markets
Claims: 0

↑$1.5T · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?95.5%
↑$1.75T · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?89.5%
↑$2.0T · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?79.0%
↑$2.5T · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?44.5%
↑$3.0T · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?24.5%

and 5 more markets →

#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $236.5K
Open: 32 markets
Claims: 0

Inde Navarrette · Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?41.0%
Tom Holland · Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?23.2%
Jaafar Jackson · Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?13.6%
Zendaya · Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?9.8%
Wagner Moura · Will Wagner Moura be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?5.5%

and 27 more markets →

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $198.9K
Open: 10 markets
Claims: 0

Elon Musk · Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?96.0%
Warren Buffett · Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?1.0%
Jeff Bezos · Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?0.3%
Mark Zuckerberg · Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?0.3%
Bernard Arnault · Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?0.3%

and 5 more markets →

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2028
Liquidity: $145.8K
Open: 7 markets
Claims: 0

600B+ · Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?96.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 · Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?1.1%
400–600B · Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?0.7%
<100B · Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?0.6%
300–400B · Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?0.3%

and 2 more markets →

GPT-6 released by…?

BusinessDate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $140K
Open: 5 markets
Claims: 0

Sep 15, 2026 · Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?95.3%
Sep 30, 2026 · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?97.3%
Oct 31, 2026 · Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?99.8%
Nov 30, 2026 · Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?99.8%
Dec 31, 2026 · Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?99.3%

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2028
Liquidity: $109.2K
Open: 7 markets
Claims: 0

1.8T+ · Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?81.5%
1.5–1.8T · Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?14.4%
1.2–1.5T · Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?3.9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 · Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?1.6%
<0.6T · Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?1.1%

and 2 more markets →

IPOs before 2027?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $101.1K
Open: 28 markets
Claims: 0

Anthropic · Anthropic IPO before 2027?94.5%
Discord · Discord IPO before 2027?17.8%
Remote · Remote IPO before 2027?9.5%
Applied Intuition · Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?9.2%
OpenAI · OpenAI IPO before 2027?8.5%

and 23 more markets →

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

BusinessDate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $99.3K
Open: 10 markets
Claims: 0

Dec 31, 2026 · Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?1.1%
Dec 31, 2026 · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?2.3%
Dec 31, 2026 · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?12.3%
Dec 31, 2026 · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?26.5%
Dec 31, 2026 · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?20.8%

and 5 more markets →

Anthropic IPO by __?

BusinessDate ladder

Closes: Jul 1, 2027
Liquidity: $95.9K
Open: 5 markets
Claims: 0

Sep 15, 2026 · Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?0.8%
Sep 30, 2026 · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?6.5%
Oct 15, 2026 · Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?57.5%
Oct 31, 2026 · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?87.5%
Dec 31, 2026 · Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?95.5%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $95.4K
Open: 14 markets
Claims: 0

↑$1.0T · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?83.0%
↑$1.25T · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?62.0%
↑$1.5T · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?42.5%
↑$1.75T · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?25.5%
↓$800B · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?24.0%

and 9 more markets →

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

BusinessDate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $91K
Open: 7 markets
Claims: 0

Dec 31, 2026 · Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?92.5%
Jan 1, 2027 · Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?0.3%
Jan 1, 2027 · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?0.3%
Jan 1, 2027 · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?1.3%
Jan 1, 2027 · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?0.8%

and 2 more markets →

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $85.4K
Open: 14 markets
Claims: 0

OpenAI · Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?30.0%
Google · Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?22.0%
Z.ai · Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?13.5%
xAI · Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?12.5%
Alibaba · Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?11.5%

and 9 more markets →

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $80.1K
Open: 14 markets
Claims: 0

MGM Resorts · Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?34.5%
PayPal · Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?16.5%
Brown-Forman · Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?14.5%
Perplexity AI · Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?14.5%
Lovable · Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?14.0%

and 9 more markets →

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2028
Liquidity: $75.8K
Open: 7 markets
Claims: 0

1.5T+ · Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?62.4%
1.25T–1.5T · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?12.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 · Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?10.3%
1T–1.25T · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?8.9%
750B–1T · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?7.5%

and 2 more markets →

OpenAI's Astra released on...?

BusinessDate ladder

Closes: in 27d
Liquidity: $69.3K
Open: 29 markets
Claims: 0

Sep 3, 2026 · Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?8.9%
Sep 4, 2026 · Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?33.8%
Sep 5, 2026 · Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?14.1%
Sep 6, 2026 · Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?10.5%
Sep 7, 2026 · Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?20.7%

and 24 more markets →

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

BusinessDate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2028
Liquidity: $65.4K
Open: 6 markets
Claims: 0

Sep 30, 2026 · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?3.9%
Dec 31, 2026 · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?17.5%
Jan 31, 2027 · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?21.5%
Feb 28, 2027 · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?23.0%
Jun 30, 2027 · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?30.5%

and 1 more market →

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Business

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $63K
Open: 1 market
Claims: 0

Will GameStop acquire eBay?7.0%

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

BusinessDate ladder

Closes: in 58d
Liquidity: $56K
Open: 8 markets
Claims: 0

Sep 3, 2026 · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?6.2%
Sep 4, 2026 · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?38.3%
Sep 9, 2026 · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?85.0%
Sep 11, 2026 · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?85.3%
Sep 15, 2026 · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?96.2%

and 3 more markets →

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

BusinessThreshold ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $55.4K
Open: 8 markets
Claims: 0

7,500,000,000 · Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?3.0%
20,000,000,000 · Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?38.0%
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?3.0%
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?2.8%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?5.5%

and 3 more markets →

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

BusinessCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2028
Liquidity: $50.7K
Open: 17 markets
Claims: 0

October 2026 · Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?87.5%
September 2026 · Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?8.0%
November 2026 · Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?1.9%
December 2026 · Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?1.6%
No IPO before 2028 · Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?0.7%

and 12 more markets →

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

BusinessDate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $50.1K
Open: 5 markets
Claims: 0

Sep 9, 2026 · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?4.2%
Sep 10, 2026 · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?6.0%
Sep 15, 2026 · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?32.0%
Sep 30, 2026 · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?53.0%
Dec 31, 2026 · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?94.5%

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