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How many Israeli elections before government formed?

Category
Geopolitics
Ladder
Threshold ladder
Open
6 markets
Liquidity
$82.2K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. 0

    Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $14.5K
    0.3%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.5%

  2. 1

    Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $2.5K
    71.5%

    bid 70.0% · ask 73.0%

  3. 2

    Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $24.5K
    21.5%

    bid 20.0% · ask 23.0%

  4. 3

    Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $19.5K
    2.3%

    bid 0.8% · ask 3.7%

  5. 4

    Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.2K
    0.1%
  6. 5

    Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $11.1K
    0.1%

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