How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

Category: Geopolitics
Ladder: Candidate ladder
Open: 7 markets
Liquidity: $59.8K
Closes: in 17d

Catalog updated just now. Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

<35
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Closes
in 17d
Liquidity
$12.5K
92.5%
bid 91.0% · ask 94.0%
45–54
Will New People (NL) win between 45 and 54 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Closes
in 17d
Liquidity
$11.3K
4.0%
bid 2.3% · ask 5.8%
35–44
Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Closes
in 17d
Liquidity
$10.8K
4.0%
bid 2.4% · ask 5.5%
55–64
Will New People (NL) win between 55 and 64 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Closes
in 17d
Liquidity
$11.6K
2.0%
bid 0.3% · ask 3.7%
75–84
Will New People (NL) win between 75 and 84 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Closes
in 17d
Liquidity
$2.1K
2.0%
bid 0.3% · ask 3.7%
65–74
Will New People (NL) win between 65 and 74 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Closes
in 17d
Liquidity
$2.4K
1.9%
bid 0.2% · ask 3.7%
85+
Will New People (NL) win 85 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Closes
in 17d
Liquidity
$11K
1.2%
bid 0.3% · ask 2.1%

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