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Iran leader end of 2026?

Category
Geopolitics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
30 markets
Liquidity
$2.2M
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Mojtaba Khamenei

    Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $87.5K
    83.2%

    bid 83.0% · ask 83.3%

  2. No Head of State

    Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $65.4K
    4.5%

    bid 4.3% · ask 4.7%

  3. Reza Pahlavi

    Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $141.8K
    3.5%

    bid 3.4% · ask 3.5%

  4. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

    Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $70.6K
    1.6%

    bid 1.5% · ask 1.8%

  5. Alireza Arafi

    Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $67.9K
    1.2%

    bid 1.1% · ask 1.3%

  6. Ahmad Vahidi

    Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $65.9K
    0.7%

    bid 0.6% · ask 0.8%

  7. Hassan Rouhani

    Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $82.2K
    0.7%

    bid 0.6% · ask 0.7%

  8. Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

    Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $77K
    0.6%

    bid 0.5% · ask 0.7%

  9. Hassan Khomeini

    Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $80.6K
    0.5%

    bid 0.3% · ask 0.7%

  10. Masoud Pezeshkian

    Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $61.7K
    0.5%

    bid 0.4% · ask 0.6%

  11. Abbas Araghchi

    Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $80.8K
    0.4%

    bid 0.3% · ask 0.5%

  12. Muhammad Mirbaqiri

    Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $80.5K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.4%

  13. Sadegh Larijani

    Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $88.1K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

  14. Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani

    Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $59.7K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  15. Ali Asghar Hejazi

    Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $70.7K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  16. Ali Motahari

    Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $48.9K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  17. Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel

    Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $78.1K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  18. Hassan Shariatmadari

    Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $79.4K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  19. Maryam Rajavi

    Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $93.8K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  20. Massoud Rajavi

    Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $66.9K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  21. Mohammad Khatami

    Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $68.9K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  22. Mohsen Araki

    Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $78.6K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  23. Mostafa Pourmohammadi

    Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $59.3K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  24. Mustafa Hijri

    Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $70.4K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  25. Nasir Hosseini

    Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $83.5K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  26. Navid Shomali

    Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $71.6K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  27. Reza Pirzadeh

    Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $71.7K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  28. Sadegh Mahsouli

    Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $72.3K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  29. Saeed Jalili

    Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $63.1K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  30. Seyed Hossein Mousavian

    Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $59.6K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

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