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Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

GeopoliticsCloses Updated

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Polymarket resolves it. insiderz only reads the outcome.

Markets

The less likely the market thinks it is, the more a right call counts.

  1. 10-11 · Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    Closes

    24.0%
  2. 8-9 · Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    Closes

    21.5%
  3. 12-13 · Will Dems win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    Closes

    20.5%
  4. <8 · Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    Closes

    18.0%
  5. 14+ · Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    Closes

    12.0%

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